AU · rank #15 · 2026-09-08
EVD
XETRA · EUR · $6.39B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.183 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.05 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 1 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $88.21 | +54.1% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +22.56% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.50 |
| Gross margin TTM | +25.9% |
| 52w high | $87.40 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.39B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
CTS Eventim is Europe's leading integrated ticketing and live entertainment platform, combining proprietary digital ticketing infrastructure with venue operations and marquee contracts including the LA28 Olympic Games.
Rationale
A 54% analyst upside with a near-perfect net revision score (1.0), strong consensus rating (4.5/5), and 22.6% momentum acceleration are reinforced by concrete H1 2026 results showing 17% revenue growth and 34% EPS growth that beat estimates, giving the analyst upgrade thesis real fundamental backing.
Material risks
- 1The -21.2% earnings surprise on record alongside high analyst target dispersion (53%) suggests consensus modeling is unstable, and the €27M FX tailwind embedded in H1 financials is non-recurring, meaning full-year EPS of €3.96 could disappoint if dollar receivables reverse.
- 2Concentration in large-scale event contracts (LA28, major tours) means revenue visibility is episodic rather than contractually recurring, and any organizer decision to insource ticketing — the primary structural disqualifier for this moat-dependent thesis — remains a latent risk as digital ticketing capabilities commoditize.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.