Analyst Upside

AU · rank #5 · 2026-09-08

MTX

XETRA · EUR · $22.02B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy4.7strength 4.7 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
2.057
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.37
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
11
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $404.65
+15.1%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+17.72%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
3.45
Gross margin TTM+18.1%
52w high$400.21
Market cap (USD)$22.02B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

MTU Aero Engines is a German aero-engine OEM and MRO provider deeply embedded in Pratt & Whitney's geared turbofan program, with a €31.6bn order book underpinning multi-year revenue visibility.

Rationale

The 92% revision agreement across 16 analysts, sustained EPS upgrades over 7/30/60/90-day windows, and 15% analyst upside collectively signal broad, durable consensus re-rating rather than a single outlier revision, which is precisely the setup the analyst_upside strategy is designed to capture.

Material risks

  • 1GTF program concentration means any Pratt & Whitney decision to insource MRO capacity or restructure risk-sharing arrangements would directly gut the high-margin aftermarket revenue that underpins the earnings upgrade cycle.
  • 2Q2 2026 adjusted EBIT margin compressed to 15.2% from 17.4% year-on-year despite 13% H1 revenue growth, suggesting cost inflation and mix headwinds could stall the EPS revision momentum that drives this trade's edge.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed
Claude
Proceed