AU · rank #8 · 2026-09-08
SAF
PARIS · EUR · $160.46B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.952 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.16 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 16 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $381.50 | +14.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +9.13% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.09 |
| Gross margin TTM | +46.8% |
| 52w high | $366.50 |
| Market cap (USD) | $160.46B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Safran is a French aerospace and defense conglomerate supplying LEAP narrow-body engines (via CFM with GE), aftermarket services, equipment, and helicopter engines to global airlines, airframers, and defense customers.
Rationale
Record H1 2026 results with 29% operating income growth, raised guidance, and 100% analyst revision agreement across 19 analysts directly validate the analyst_upside signal, with 14.5% consensus upside supported by accelerating EPS revisions over 30–90 days rather than mere sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1Competitive displacement risk is real but not imminent — Safran shares LEAP with GE Aerospace rather than holding sole-source status, meaning any airframer platform shift or next-generation engine decision could structurally erode the installed-base moat underpinning the aftermarket margin thesis.
- 2The 45.9% analyst target dispersion is unusually wide for a mega-cap, signaling meaningful disagreement on terminal value and suggesting the 14.5% consensus upside could compress sharply if civil aftermarket demand softens or supply-chain costs re-accelerate.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.