AU · rank #14 · 2026-09-08
SHELL
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $269.88B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.279 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.54 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 3 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $42.39 | +4.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | -0.98% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | — |
| Gross margin TTM | +26.1% |
| 52w high | $40.85 |
| Market cap (USD) | $269.88B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Shell PLC is Europe's largest integrated oil and gas major, operating across upstream production, refining, chemicals, and energy trading with record Q2 2026 output and ~$94.7B in quarterly revenue.
Rationale
With 100% analyst revision agreement, three consecutive upward EPS revisions over 30/60/90-day windows, a 10.96% earnings surprise last quarter, and a consensus mean rating of 2.57, the analyst_upside signal is reinforced by genuine fundamental momentum rather than mere sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1The 4.5% analyst upside is modest relative to the 29.5% target price dispersion, suggesting analysts are deeply divided on fair value — likely reflecting Middle East disruption uncertainty and commodity price normalization risk that could rapidly compress the $9.8B adjusted earnings run-rate.
- 2Negative momentum acceleration (-0.98%) signals price momentum is already fading, meaning the window to capture analyst-driven re-rating may be closing before the October 29 Q3 catalyst confirms or breaks the earnings trajectory.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.