AU · rank #19 · 2026-09-08
TKMS
XETRA · EUR · $6.23B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.762 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.15 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 4 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $111.14 | +31.7% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +12.79% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | — |
| Gross margin TTM | +17.9% |
| 52w high | $108.80 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.23B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
TKMS AG & Co KGaA is a German naval shipbuilder specializing in submarines and frigates, listed on Xetra in October 2025, with a €25+ billion order backlog anchored in long-term NATO government contracts.
Rationale
100% analyst revision agreement, 31.7% consensus upside, and accelerating EPS revisions across 7/30/60/90-day windows reflect a genuine re-rating in progress as the market digests post-spin-off earnings power and the €6.3 billion MEKO A-200 contract win.
Material risks
- 1With only 5 analysts covering a recently listed spin-off, the 31.7% analyst upside and 40.5% target dispersion reflect thin, potentially unstable consensus — a single model revision could materially shift the signal.
- 2Adjusted EBIT margin compressed to 5.8% (from 6.1%) due to spin-off costs, and negative free cash flow of ~€72 million in H1 signals that revenue growth is not yet translating cleanly to cash, a concern on long-cycle naval programs with lumpy milestone billing.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.