Analyst Upside

AU · rank #10 · 2026-09-09

BLZE

NASDAQ · $817M (USD)

SignalHold
verdict · CAUTION

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.623
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.13
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
2
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.153
Analyst upside
Consensus target $22.83
+64.4%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+68.91%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.83
Gross margin TTM+62.3%
52w high$23.99
Market cap (USD)$817M

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Backblaze (BLZE) is a cloud storage software provider selling B2 object storage and computer backup, with B2 now driving most revenue and being positioned for AI/neocloud storage workloads.

Rationale

The quant setup is reinforced by strong analyst upside and upgrade breadth, rising EPS revisions, a large positive earnings surprise, and a material Q2 beat plus raised 2026 guidance that should keep estimate momentum positive.

Material risks

  • 1The biggest thesis breaker is dependence on large AI/storage customers like CoreWeave in a commoditized market, where in-house buildouts or price pressure from hyperscalers/Wasabi could quickly erode the upside case.
  • 2Share overhang from registered resale shares and the $175M 0% convert adds dilution risk, while capital intensity and power/capacity constraints can slow scaling if AI demand cools.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Unknown