AU · rank #19 · 2026-09-09
DELL
NYSE · $338.67B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.750 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$5.24 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 2 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.153 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $564.46 | +5.7% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | -49.88% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.22 |
| Gross margin TTM | +19.9% |
| 52w high | $534.99 |
| Market cap (USD) | $338.67B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Dell Technologies is a large-cap hardware and infrastructure company whose current growth is overwhelmingly driven by AI server demand through its Dell AI Factory with NVIDIA partnership, layered on top of a legacy PC and enterprise hardware business.
Rationale
A 43% earnings surprise, 100% revision agreement across analysts, 21 target raises in 30 days, and EPS revisions accelerating from $4.51 (7-day) to $6.31 (90-day) confirm that analyst upside is being systematically underwritten by fundamental beats rather than sentiment drift alone.
Material risks
- 1Analyst target dispersion of 47.8% is unusually wide for a name with consensus agreement on direction, suggesting deep disagreement on the magnitude of the AI server cycle's durability — if hyperscaler capex pauses, Dell's 58% revenue growth collapses with it given its assembler-not-designer positioning.
- 2Gross margin of just 19.9% leaves virtually no buffer; AI server mix is structurally margin-dilutive versus legacy enterprise, and any NVIDIA supply allocation shift or pricing pressure from ODM competitors (Supermicro, Foxconn) would compress earnings faster than revisions can adjust.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.