AU · rank #17 · 2026-09-09
EAT
NYSE · $10.03B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.875 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.91 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 11 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.153 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $266.67 | +19.9% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +29.45% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.45 |
| Gross margin TTM | +18.6% |
| 52w high | $254.99 |
| Market cap (USD) | $10.03B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Brinker International (EAT) operates a large casual dining portfolio anchored by Chili's, generating ~$6B in annual revenues with mid-single-digit comparable sales growth and improving margins.
Rationale
With 15 analyst target raises in 30 days, 100% revision agreement, and a 19.9% consensus upside gap, the analyst_upside signal is reinforced by genuine fundamental momentum — Q4 EPS up 20%+ YoY and sustained comp growth — not merely sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1Q4 adjusted EPS of $3.07 missed the $3.09 consensus and the slight negative earnings surprise (-0.51%) introduces execution risk against elevated FY2027 guidance, which could compress the 19.9% upside gap if guidance proves optimistic in a softening consumer environment.
- 2Analyst target dispersion of 69.75% is unusually wide for a $10B restaurant name, signaling deep disagreement on fair value and suggesting the consensus price target may be anchored by a few aggressive outliers rather than a durable fundamental re-rating.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.