Analyst Upside

AU · rank #11 · 2026-09-09

MTX

XETRA · EUR · $22.24B (USD)

SignalBuy3.1strength 3.1 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.315
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.21
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
11
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $406.70
+14.6%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+15.81%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
3.45
Gross margin TTM+18.1%
52w high$400.21
Market cap (USD)$22.24B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

MTU Aero Engines is a German aero-engine OEM and MRO provider with a €31.6bn order book, anchored by risk-and-revenue-sharing partnerships on Pratt & Whitney geared turbofan programs and high shop-visit volumes from GTF recall-related maintenance.

Rationale

The 92% revision agreement across 16 analysts, sustained EPS upgrades over 7/30/60/90-day windows, and 14.6% consensus upside collectively validate the analyst_upside signal as structurally grounded in visible GTF MRO demand and raised FCF guidance rather than sentiment drift.

Material risks

  • 1Pratt & Whitney program concentration means any OEM decision to insource GTF MRO work or accelerate design fixes that reduce shop-visit frequency would directly collapse the high-margin aftermarket revenue underpinning the earnings revision cycle.
  • 2Q2 adjusted EBIT margin compression to 15.2% from 17.4% year-on-year signals a cost/mix headwind that, if it persists into H2, could stall or reverse the EPS upgrade momentum the signal depends on despite top-line growth.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed