AU · rank #6 · 2026-09-09
SAF
PARIS · EUR · $160.74B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 2.059 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.16 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 16 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $381.50 | +14.4% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +7.85% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.09 |
| Gross margin TTM | +46.8% |
| 52w high | $366.50 |
| Market cap (USD) | $160.74B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Safran is a French aerospace and defense conglomerate supplying LEAP narrow-body engines (via CFM with GE), aftermarket services, avionics, and helicopter engines to global airlines, airframers, and defense customers.
Rationale
All 19 covering analysts revised EPS upward over 30 days with 100% revision agreement, the stock carries 14.4% consensus upside, and H1 2026 results—record revenue, 29% operating income growth, and raised guidance—provide fundamental confirmation that the analyst upgrade cycle is earnings-driven rather than sentiment-only.
Material risks
- 1Safran co-owns the LEAP platform with GE Aerospace rather than holding sole-source status, meaning platform-level decisions by Airbus or Boeing (e.g., a re-engine program favoring an alternative supplier) could structurally erode the aftermarket moat underpinning the 24.5% propulsion margin.
- 2Civil aftermarket revenue—the primary growth driver at +28–40% in H1 2026—is acutely exposed to an airline traffic downturn or maintenance-deferral cycle that could rapidly compress both top-line growth and the high-margin spare-parts mix that is driving consensus upgrades.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.