Analyst Upside

AU · rank #12 · 2026-09-09

SMWB

NYSE · $780M (USD)

SignalBuy3.2strength 3.2 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.539
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.08
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
6
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.153
Analyst upside
Consensus target $10.80
+28.9%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+101.95%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.56
Gross margin TTM+79.8%
52w high$10.35
Market cap (USD)$780M

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Similarweb (SMWB) is a cloud-based digital intelligence SaaS platform providing proprietary web and app traffic analytics to enterprises who cannot replicate cross-site measurement with first-party data alone.

Rationale

The analyst_upside strategy is reinforced by a 28.9% consensus price target gap, 8 analysts at a 4.56 buy-skewed rating, 87.5% revision agreement, three target raises in 30 days, and a 97.6% earnings surprise that materially beat estimates on the company's first-ever positive GAAP operating profit.

Material risks

  • 1Large enterprise customers building in-house digital analytics capabilities is a concrete, disclosed risk that directly threatens the sole-source traffic intelligence moat underpinning Similarweb's pricing power and net retention.
  • 2High analyst target dispersion of 27.8% and zero insider buying over 90 days suggest conviction is uneven and insiders are not personally backing the upside thesis at current levels.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed