AU · rank #7 · 2026-09-10
ADYEN
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $34.95B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.999 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.17 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 3 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $1,387.57 | +45.8% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +22.45% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.40 |
| Gross margin TTM | +68.5% |
| 52w high | $1,600.80 |
| Market cap (USD) | $34.95B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Adyen is a unified global payments infrastructure platform processing €804 billion in H1 2026 volume for large enterprise merchants, generating ~49-50% EBITDA margins with 19% net revenue growth year-over-year.
Rationale
With 28 analysts, a consensus target implying 45.8% upside, a strong buy-skewed rating of 4.4/5, and net revisions of +3 over 30 days alongside 22% momentum acceleration, the analyst_upside signal is reinforced by a concrete H1 2026 earnings beat and reaffirmed 21-23% constant-currency growth guidance.
Material risks
- 1The 90-day EPS revision of -$0.57 and high target dispersion of 69.8% signal meaningful analyst disagreement on earnings trajectory, likely reflecting margin dilution from acquisitions and the $300M next-gen processing investment that could compress near-term profitability versus consensus.
- 2Adyen's share price has historically collapsed on even modest volume or take-rate disappointments, and with cross-border payment growth exposed to macro softness and tariff-driven spending slowdowns, the 45.8% implied upside could evaporate quickly if H2 2026 volumes disappoint.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.