Analyst Upside

AU · rank #8 · 2026-09-10

ALV

XETRA · EUR · $198.21B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy4.2strength 4.2 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.832
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.79
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
4
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $440.55
+0.8%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+5.62%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
3.63
Gross margin TTM+25.0%
52w high$454.60
Market cap (USD)$198.21B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Allianz SE is a globally diversified insurance and asset management group operating across property-casualty, life/health, and asset management (PIMCO, AllianzGI), generating record H1 2026 operating profit of €9.4bn with a 225% solvency ratio.

Rationale

100% analyst revision agreement across all 8 covering analysts, combined with positive EPS revisions across 30/60/90-day windows and accelerating momentum (+5.6%), reinforces the analyst_upside thesis as broad-based conviction rather than a single outlier upgrade driving the signal.

Material risks

  • 1The -6.5% earnings surprise last quarter signals execution risk against elevated consensus expectations, and with analyst targets already clustering in the €401–404 range against a high of €482, the upside distribution is skewed by a single bullish outlier inflating the 81.7% target dispersion metric.
  • 2Large institutional clients rotating toward passive/in-house asset management solutions could structurally compress PIMCO and AllianzGI fee revenues, which delivered record Q2 2026 operating profit of €933m and are a key pillar of the analyst upgrade thesis.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed