AU · rank #10 · 2026-09-10
MTX
XETRA · EUR · $21.54B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.371 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.21 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 11 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $406.70 | +18.3% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +11.12% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.45 |
| Gross margin TTM | +18.1% |
| 52w high | $400.21 |
| Market cap (USD) | $21.54B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
MTU Aero Engines is a German aero-engine OEM and MRO provider with a €31.6bn order book, anchored by risk-and-revenue-sharing partnerships on Pratt & Whitney geared turbofan programs and high shop-visit volumes from GTF recall-related maintenance.
Rationale
The 18.3% analyst upside, 92% revision agreement across 11 net upward EPS revisions over 30 days, and accelerating momentum (+11.1%) collectively signal a broadening analyst consensus re-rating driven by the upgraded FCF guidance and record backlog, which are concrete, contract-backed catalysts rather than sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1GTF program concentration means any Pratt & Whitney decision to insource MRO capacity or a structural reduction in recall-driven shop visits would directly collapse the high-margin aftermarket revenue stream that underpins the earnings revision thesis.
- 2Q2 adjusted EBIT margin compression to 15.2% from 17.4% year-on-year, if it reflects a durable cost/mix shift rather than a transitory headwind, could stall the EPS upgrade cycle that is the core engine of this analyst_upside signal.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.