AU · rank #15 · 2026-09-10
RBRK
NYSE · $18.28B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.163 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.11 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 17 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.172 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $118.70 | +33.6% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +27.75% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.90 |
| Gross margin TTM | +80.2% |
| 52w high | $107.91 |
| Market cap (USD) | $18.28B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Rubrik is a subscription-based cyber resilience platform delivering unified data security, backup, and AI-driven incident response via Rubrik Security Cloud, with $1.57B in subscription ARR and ~120% net dollar retention across 2,946 large enterprise accounts.
Rationale
With 19 analyst target raises in 30 days, 94.7% revision agreement, a 409% earnings surprise, and 33.6% consensus upside on a 27-analyst coverage base, the analyst_upside signal is firmly grounded in accelerating fundamental beats rather than pure sentiment drift.
Material risks
- 1Hyperscaler cloud providers (AWS, Azure, GCP) bundling native backup and security capabilities could commoditize Rubrik's core value proposition and pressure renewal rates among the 2,946 large-account cohort that drives ARR concentration.
- 2Target price dispersion of 37.9% on a stock with zero insider buying in 90 days suggests meaningful valuation uncertainty at an $18.3B market cap, leaving the name exposed to sharp de-rating if ARR growth decelerates from the current 32% pace.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.