Analyst Upside

AU · rank #2 · 2026-09-10

RPD

NASDAQ · $741M (USD)

SignalHold
verdict · CAUTION

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
3.210
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$2.03
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
19
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.172
Analyst upside
Consensus target $11.71
+10.9%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+59.34%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
3.56
Gross margin TTM+69.3%
52w high$20.95
Market cap (USD)$741M

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Rapid7 provides an AI-powered managed cybersecurity operations and analytics platform that consolidates vulnerability management, SIEM/XDR, and managed detection and response on its unified Insight platform.

Rationale

The quant model's positive revision indicators, including a 91.3% revision agreement and 12 target raises, are fundamentally validated by Rapid7's 26.3% Q2 non-GAAP EPS beat and an upgraded full-year 2026 revenue and operating income outlook.

Material risks

  • 1Persistent year-over-year declines in revenue and ARR indicate that customer spending optimization and a lack of a fixed order backlog threaten top-line stabilization.
  • 2High execution risk from a 12% workforce reduction and upcoming debt maturities could limit the capital and R&D focus needed to compete against larger platform security vendors.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Caution
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed