AU · rank #6 · 2026-09-10
SAF
PARIS · EUR · $155.62B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 2.046 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.16 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 16 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $381.50 | +18.2% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +1.40% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.09 |
| Gross margin TTM | +46.8% |
| 52w high | $366.50 |
| Market cap (USD) | $155.62B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Safran is a French aerospace and defense conglomerate supplying LEAP narrow-body engines (via CFM International with GE), aftermarket services, equipment, and helicopter engines to global airlines, airframers, and defense customers.
Rationale
The analyst_upside_pct of 18.2% is backed by 100% revision agreement across 19 analysts with EPS revised up ~€0.76 over 60 days, directly corroborated by H1 2026 results that beat expectations and a guidance raise, giving the consensus target a fundamental anchor rather than pure sentiment drift.
Material risks
- 1Safran co-owns LEAP with GE Aerospace rather than holding sole-source status, meaning platform-level decisions by Airbus or Boeing favoring alternative propulsion architectures (e.g., next-generation engine programs) could structurally erode the aftermarket moat that justifies the current 24.5% propulsion margin and underpins analyst targets.
- 2Civil aftermarket revenue — the primary H1 2026 growth driver at +28–40% — is acutely cyclical; any deterioration in global airline traffic or maintenance budgets would disproportionately compress margins and trigger rapid downward EPS revisions, reversing the very revision momentum the signal captures.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.