AU · rank #15 · 2026-09-10
TKMS
XETRA · EUR · $6.23B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.920 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.15 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 4 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $111.14 | +31.8% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +13.67% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | — |
| Gross margin TTM | +17.9% |
| 52w high | $108.80 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.23B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
TKMS AG & Co KGaA is a German naval shipbuilder specializing in submarines and frigates, listed on Xetra in October 2025, with a €25+ billion order backlog anchored in long-term NATO government contracts.
Rationale
100% analyst revision agreement, 31.8% consensus upside, and accelerating EPS revisions across 7/30/60/90-day windows are directly reinforced by a guidance upgrade, 19% YoY revenue growth, and a record backlog expansion including the €6.3 billion MEKO A-200 frigate award — the analyst upside thesis has concrete program-level catalysts behind it.
Material risks
- 1With only 5 analysts covering and 40.5% target price dispersion, consensus is thin and volatile — a single contract delay or margin miss on the complex, long-cycle programs could trigger outsized estimate cuts that unwind the revision momentum signal rapidly.
- 2Adjusted EBIT margin is already compressing (5.8% vs. 6.1% YoY) due to spin-off costs and negative free cash flow, suggesting near-term earnings quality may lag revenue growth and disappoint if margin recovery is slower than analysts assume.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.