AU · rank #6 · 2026-09-11
ADYEN
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $33.66B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 2.089 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.17 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 3 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $1,387.57 | +51.0% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +19.05% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.40 |
| Gross margin TTM | +68.5% |
| 52w high | $1,600.80 |
| Market cap (USD) | $33.66B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Adyen is a global unified payments platform processing €804 billion in H1 2026 volume for large enterprise merchants, generating ~€1.3 billion net revenue at ~49-50% EBITDA margins.
Rationale
A 50.9% analyst upside with 28 analysts, a strong 4.4/5 internal rating, net positive revisions over 30 days, and 19% momentum acceleration collectively reinforce the analyst_upside strategy thesis that consensus is re-rating Adyen higher following H1 2026 results that confirmed reacceleration to 21% constant-currency growth.
Material risks
- 1The 90-day EPS revision of -$0.57 versus a positive 60-day revision of +$0.19 signals a recent inflection that may be fragile — if the H1 margin pressure (opex growing faster than net revenue) persists into H2, the re-rating thesis collapses before the 2028 >55% EBITDA target is credible.
- 2Analyst target dispersion of 69.8% is exceptionally wide for a €33.7 billion market-cap name, indicating deep disagreement on fair value that could suppress multiple expansion even if fundamentals hold, particularly given prior episodes of sharp drawdowns on modest volume disappointments.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.