AU · rank #9 · 2026-09-11
ALV
XETRA · EUR · $197.70B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.816 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.79 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 4 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $440.55 | +0.2% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +6.13% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.63 |
| Gross margin TTM | +25.0% |
| 52w high | $454.60 |
| Market cap (USD) | $197.70B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Allianz SE is a globally diversified insurance and asset-management group operating across property-casualty, life/health, and asset management (including PIMCO and AllianzGI), generating record H1 2026 operating profit of €9.4bn.
Rationale
100% analyst revision agreement across all 8 covering analysts, a 23.9% consensus upside to target, and accelerating EPS revisions over 30/60/90-day windows collectively reinforce the analyst_upside signal as reflecting genuine fundamental re-rating momentum rather than noise.
Material risks
- 1The 81.7% analyst target dispersion is unusually wide for a mega-cap insurer, suggesting the consensus upside figure masks deep disagreement on fair value and could compress sharply if macro or catastrophe conditions deteriorate.
- 2The -6.54% last earnings surprise (reported core net income down 12.7% YoY) introduces execution risk that could stall further upward revisions if underlying growth of ~10% fails to offset divestment-related base effects in H2 2026.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.