Analyst Upside

AU · rank #4 · 2026-09-11

DEZ

XETRA · EUR · $2.25B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy5.7strength 5.7 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
2.378
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.32
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
2
Insider signal (90d)
Analyst upside
Consensus target $15.16
+19.2%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+31.41%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
5.00
Gross margin TTM+21.9%
52w high$13.35
Market cap (USD)$2.25B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Deutz AG designs and manufactures engines for off-highway applications while actively expanding its portfolio into energy, higher-margin services, and military vehicles.

Rationale

Strong analyst revisions and a 19.18% upside signal are fundamentally supported by H1 2026 order intake surging 28.7% and the approved €1.6 billion transformational acquisition of defense contractor FFG.

Material risks

  • 1Execution and integration failure of the massive €1.6 billion FFG acquisition, which could severely strain capital allocation given Deutz's negative pre-M&A free cash flow of €29.7 million in H1 2026.
  • 2Continued cyclical weakness in the core engine business where low Q2 margins of 3.8% leave Deutz vulnerable if OEM customers choose to insource alternative powertrain development.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed