AU · rank #10 · 2026-09-11
MTX
XETRA · EUR · $21.15B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.370 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.21 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 11 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $406.70 | +20.2% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +9.74% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.45 |
| Gross margin TTM | +18.1% |
| 52w high | $400.21 |
| Market cap (USD) | $21.15B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
MTU Aero Engines is a German aero-engine OEM and MRO specialist with a €31.6bn order book, anchored by risk-and-revenue-sharing partnerships on Pratt & Whitney geared turbofan programs and high shop-visit volumes from GTF recall-related maintenance.
Rationale
The analyst_upside signal is reinforced by 92% revision agreement across 16 analysts, sustained EPS upgrades over 7/30/60/90-day windows, and a 20% consensus price target gap backed by raised FCF guidance—suggesting the market has not yet fully priced the upgraded cash conversion trajectory.
Material risks
- 1GTF program concentration means any Pratt & Whitney decision to insource MRO capacity or redesign away from high-shop-visit recall dynamics would directly collapse the high-margin aftermarket revenue stream underpinning the earnings upgrade cycle.
- 2Q2 adjusted EBIT margin compressed 220bps year-on-year to 15.2% despite 13% H1 revenue growth, signaling cost mix headwinds that could cap EPS upside and erode the revision momentum if sustained into H2.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.