AU · rank #7 · 2026-09-11
SAF
PARIS · EUR · $154.83B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 2.044 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.16 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 16 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $381.50 | +18.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +1.65% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.09 |
| Gross margin TTM | +46.8% |
| 52w high | $366.50 |
| Market cap (USD) | $154.83B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Safran is a French aerospace group whose core earnings engine is the CFM LEAP narrowbody propulsion franchise and its high-margin civil engine aftermarket, supplemented by military programs like the M88.
Rationale
With 100% revision agreement across 19 analysts, a 60-day EPS revision of +$0.75, and 18.5% analyst upside, the signal reflects genuine fundamental re-rating driven by record H1 2026 margins and Farnborough order momentum rather than sentiment drift.
Material risks
- 1Safran's revenue is structurally concentrated on Airbus A320neo and Boeing 737 MAX production rates — any sustained OEM delivery slowdown (Boeing quality/strike disruptions) would simultaneously compress new engine revenue and delay aftermarket fleet build-up, directly breaking the installed-base compounding thesis.
- 2The 45.9% analyst target dispersion is unusually wide for a mega-cap industrial, suggesting meaningful disagreement on the pace of margin expansion and LEAP ramp, which could trigger sharp de-rating if H2 2026 aftermarket growth decelerates from the 28–40% H1 pace.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.