AU · rank #3 · 2026-10-19
COP
NYSE · $165.26B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 2.670 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.96 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 11 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.186 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $147.73 | +0.8% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +6.29% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.21 |
| Gross margin TTM | +47.6% |
| 52w high | $141.62 |
| Market cap (USD) | $165.26B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
ConocoPhillips is a large-cap global upstream E&P with 2.25 million BOED of production, a peer-leading Permian position, and a $7B free-cash-flow inflection target by 2029.
Rationale
The analyst_upside strategy is reinforced by 26 covering analysts with 92% revision agreement, a 30-day EPS revision of +$0.96, three target raises in the last 30 days, and a 10.6% Q2 earnings surprise — a broad, accelerating consensus upgrade cycle with no dissenting drift.
Material risks
- 1Oil price is the single thesis-breaker — COP's $62.33/BOE realized price drives all cash flow and return targets, and a sustained commodity downturn would collapse the EPS revision cycle that is the entire basis for this signal.
- 2The Kirkuk Iraq JV and Syria re-entry introduce geopolitical and sanctions risk to assets that are not yet closed or operational, creating headline event risk that could reverse analyst sentiment abruptly.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.