← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #4 · 2026-10-19

DOM

GPW · PLN · $1.58B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy7.2strength 7.2 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.038
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
-$0.03
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
1
Insider signal (90d)—
Analyst upside
Consensus target $293.15
+22.9%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
-7.30%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.71
Gross margin TTM+32.6%
52w high$276.63
Market cap (USD)$1.58B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Dom Development S.A. is Poland’s largest residential real estate developer, constructing and selling multi-family housing across Warsaw, Tricity, Wrocław, Kraków, and Poznań.

Rationale

The ~23% analyst upside and unanimous buy recommendations (4.71/5 rating) are underpinned by 13% YoY sales growth through 9M 2026, PLN 4.4 billion in contracted revenue visibility, and strong ~32.6% gross margins.

Material risks

  • 1Sensitivity of Polish mortgage affordability to central bank policy rates could curb residential presale velocity toward management's 5,000-unit full-year target.
  • 2Construction-cost inflation and land permitting delays across major Polish urban hubs could erode project-level margins and slow revenue recognition.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed