← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #8 · 2026-10-19

EVD

XETRA · EUR · $6.66B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy2.1strength 2.1 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.786
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.01
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
1
Insider signal (90d)—
Analyst upside
Consensus target $84.32
+36.6%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+11.37%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.38
Gross margin TTM+25.9%
52w high$84.18
Market cap (USD)$6.66B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

CTS Eventim is Europe's dominant integrated ticketing and live-entertainment operator, controlling ~75% of German online ticketing and expanding into owned venues with the new Milan Unipol Dome.

Rationale

A 36.6% analyst upside with perfect net revision agreement (1.0) across 13 analysts, backed by 16.9% H1 2026 revenue growth and 34.2% EPS growth, supports a genuine earnings-revision-driven re-rating thesis rather than pure sentiment.

Material risks

  • 1Live Nation/Ticketmaster winning additional European venue and promoter contracts would directly erode Eventim's primary inventory access — the core structural moat underpinning the analyst upside target.
  • 2The abrupt CFO departure effective September 30, 2026, combined with a -21.2% last earnings surprise and slight EBITDA margin compression (14.9% vs 15.5%), introduces near-term execution and credibility risk that could delay re-rating.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed