AU · rank #9 · 2026-10-19
RBRK
NYSE · $24.38B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.955 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.12 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 17 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.186 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $120.15 | +6.9% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +36.91% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.89 |
| Gross margin TTM | +80.2% |
| 52w high | $127.90 |
| Market cap (USD) | $24.38B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Rubrik is a cyber-resilience platform vendor monetizing ransomware recovery, identity restoration, and AI-agent governance through a subscription ARR model anchored in immutable data protection.
Rationale
With 27 analysts covering RBRK, 94.7% revision agreement, a 409% earnings surprise last quarter, 38% revenue growth, and raised FY2027 guidance, the analyst-upside signal reflects genuine fundamental re-rating momentum rather than mere sentiment drift.
Material risks
- 1Rubrik discloses no backlog or RPO, making Subscription ARR the sole visibility metric—if ARR growth decelerates as the installed base matures, the analyst consensus built on extrapolated ARR curves could unwind rapidly given the 24% target price dispersion already embedded in estimates.
- 2Veeam, Cohesity, Commvault, and hyperscalers (AWS Backup, Azure Site Recovery) can bundle backup and identity recovery natively, threatening to commoditize Rubrik's core before its newer AI and identity products achieve meaningful ARR contribution.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.