← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #15 · 2026-10-19

TEAM

NASDAQ · $51.81B (USD)

SignalSell
verdict · CAUTION

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
1.041
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.13
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
1
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.186
Analyst upside
Consensus target $211.36
+1.7%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+120.19%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.45
Gross margin TTM+85.6%
52w high$214.77
Market cap (USD)$51.81B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Atlassian operates a cloud-centered work management and collaboration platform spanning Jira, Confluence, Loom, and Jira Service Management.

Rationale

The analyst upside signal is reinforced by a 24.5% earnings surprise, 100% positive 30-day revision agreement across covered analysts, and 44% RPO growth to $4.8 billion.

Material risks

  • 1Microsoft's enterprise bundling of Teams, GitHub, and Azure DevOps directly threatens Atlassian's core seat growth and pricing power.
  • 2Generative AI coding agents and automated developer workflows could commoditize core Jira and Confluence functionality as management signals slowing FY2027 subscription growth.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 1 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Caution
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed