← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #18 · 2026-10-19

V1NC

XETRA · EUR · $1.10B (USD)

SignalBuy1.1strength 1.1 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.399
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.02
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
2
Insider signal (90d)—
Analyst upside
Consensus target $24.67
+26.5%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+4.90%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.33
Gross margin TTM+24.6%
52w high$23.90
Market cap (USD)$1.10B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

VINCORION SE is a ~900-person German defense specialist manufacturing weapon-stabilization systems, generators, and power electronics for armored vehicles, air-defense platforms, and aviation, with established positions on Leopard 2 and major European programs.

Rationale

A 26.5% analyst upside, 100% revision agreement across all six covering analysts, and accelerating EPS upgrades over 30/60/90-day windows are directly reinforced by a concrete 39.8% Q3 revenue surge and a guidance raise that gives analysts tangible numbers to chase rather than sentiment to extrapolate.

Material risks

  • 1Approximately €590 million of the €1.2 billion backlog is frame or soft orders whose conversion depends on government budget approvals and prime-contractor program decisions, meaning the revenue visibility underpinning the analyst upgrade cycle could stall if European defense procurement slips.
  • 2Customer and platform concentration on a handful of European armored-vehicle and air-defense programs means a single prime contractor decision to dual-source stabilization or internalize power electronics would disproportionately impair the thesis with little diversification buffer.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed