AU · rank #19 · 2026-10-20
BAMNB
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $3.36B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.031 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.08 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 1 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $14.10 | +22.1% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | -13.99% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 5.00 |
| Gross margin TTM | +28.2% |
| 52w high | $13.13 |
| Market cap (USD) | $3.36B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Koninklijke BAM Groep is a Dutch-listed engineering and construction group operating across housing, civil infrastructure, energy-transition and defence in the Netherlands and UK/Ireland with ~30,000 homes in its residential pipeline and a €12.6 billion order book.
Rationale
The analyst_upside_pct of 22% with 100% revision agreement across all three covering analysts, rising EPS revisions across 7/30/60/90-day windows, and a raised full-year EBITDA margin guidance of ≥6.5% collectively reinforce that the consensus upgrade cycle is real and grounded in improving H1 2026 fundamentals rather than pure sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1The order book declined from €13.0 billion at year-end 2025 to €12.6 billion at H1 2026, signalling that new award intake is not yet outpacing revenue burn, which could stall the margin-expansion narrative that underpins the analyst upgrade cycle.
- 2Large-project cost overruns or adverse claims—a structural feature of competitively tendered construction with no sole-source protection—can rapidly compress the thin EBITDA margins that the market is now pricing in at the raised guidance level.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.