AU · rank #17 · 2026-10-20
ESTC
NYSE · $10.03B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.161 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.00 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 12 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.193 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $111.52 | +17.9% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +58.00% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.07 |
| Gross margin TTM | +75.6% |
| 52w high | $108.00 |
| Market cap (USD) | $10.03B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Elastic NV operates a search-first observability, security, and enterprise AI platform built on Elasticsearch, delivered via cloud and self-managed deployments to large enterprises globally.
Rationale
With 29 analysts covering the stock, 12 net upward price-target revisions in 30 days, 71% revision agreement, a 19.85% earnings beat, raised FY2027 guidance, and 17.9% consensus upside, the analyst_upside signal reflects genuine fundamental re-rating momentum rather than thin sentiment.
Material risks
- 1AWS OpenSearch, Microsoft Azure AI Search, and Google Cloud Search are bundled hyperscaler alternatives that can commoditize Elastic's core indexing and retrieval layer, directly threatening the pricing power and retention that underpin the analyst upgrade cycle.
- 2Target price dispersion of 49.3% is unusually wide for a $10B software name, signaling deep analyst disagreement on terminal growth and margin trajectory that could reverse the revision trend sharply on any guidance miss.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.