← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #16 · 2026-10-20

IMCD

AMSTERDAM · EUR · $6.88B (USD)

SignalBuy1.3strength 1.3 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.179
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.06
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
2
Insider signal (90d)—
Analyst upside
Consensus target $117.36
+13.9%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+12.15%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.29
Gross margin TTM+25.0%
52w high$105.55
Market cap (USD)$6.88B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

IMCD NV is a global distributor and formulator of specialty chemicals and ingredients, providing technical formulation, regulatory support, and supply-chain services.

Rationale

The analyst upside signal is backed by 100% positive EPS revision agreement and 13.9% analyst upside, underpinned by Q2 organic gross profit recovering to 7% growth and H1 constant-currency EBITA expanding 8%.

Material risks

  • 1Disintermediation if primary specialty chemical suppliers or key downstream customers internalize technical sales, formulation, and distribution capabilities.
  • 2Margin compression from softening specialty chemical pricing, compounded by financial leverage at 2.8x net debt to operating EBITDA.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed