AU · rank #12 · 2026-10-20
SPCX
NASDAQ · $2.01T (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.633 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.27 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 4 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.193 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $221.26 | +49.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +21.28% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.21 |
| Gross margin TTM | +51.9% |
| 52w high | $225.64 |
| Market cap (USD) | $2.01T |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
SpaceX (SPCX) operates reusable Falcon launch vehicles, Dragon crew/cargo spacecraft, and the Starlink satellite broadband constellation, with an expanding AI-compute and Starlink Mobile business targeting a ~$100B revenue run-rate.
Rationale
The analyst_upside_pct of 49.5% is backed by 23 analysts at a 4.21/5 rating with 100% revision agreement and four target raises in 30 days, suggesting broad, high-conviction upward re-rating driven by the NASA $946M contract win, Starlink connectivity revenue surging 66% YoY, and a $47.5B backlog providing concrete earnings revision fuel.
Material risks
- 1The ~$8B 800 MHz spectrum acquisition requires FCC approval and a full terrestrial network buildout, meaning Starlink Mobile's TAM expansion thesis is regulatory- and capital-contingent against entrenched carriers — a concrete execution disqualifier if blocked or delayed.
- 2analyst_target_dispersion_pct of 150% is extreme for a 23-analyst consensus, signaling deep disagreement on terminal value that could rapidly compress the 49.5% upside if Q3 results (due October 20) disappoint the $12.74B revenue / $0.14 EPS bar, especially given the Q2 net loss of $541M amid $15.8B AI capex.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.