AU · rank #17 · 2026-10-20
V1NC
XETRA · EUR · $1.09B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.164 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.02 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 2 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $24.67 | +26.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +1.17% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.33 |
| Gross margin TTM | +24.6% |
| 52w high | $23.90 |
| Market cap (USD) | $1.09B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
VINCORION SE is a ~900-person German defense-electronics specialist making generators, power electronics, and weapon-stabilization systems for armored vehicles, air-defense platforms, and aviation.
Rationale
A 26.5% analyst upside gap, 100% revision agreement across all six covering analysts, and accelerating EPS upgrades over 30/60/90-day windows are directly reinforced by a concrete guidance raise—revenue lifted to €323–333M and EBIT margin to 18.5–19.5%—anchored by a €1.2B backlog at ~4.2x 2026 revenue, making the analyst_upside signal structurally earned rather than sentiment-driven.
Material risks
- 1Backlog quality risk is the primary thesis-breaker—€590M of the €1.2B backlog is frame or soft orders whose conversion depends on customer program approvals and defense-budget execution, meaning reported backlog overstates near-term revenue visibility.
- 2Customer and platform concentration risk is acute given that major revenue is tied to a handful of European armored-vehicle and air-defense programs where prime contractors or governments could dual-source or internalize stabilization and power capabilities over a multi-year horizon.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.