← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #14 · 2026-10-20

VPK

AMSTERDAM · EUR · $6.83B (USD)

SignalBuy1.8strength 1.8 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.363
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.22
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
2
Insider signal (90d)—
Analyst upside
Consensus target $59.60
+11.5%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+2.98%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
3.80
Gross margin TTM+95.8%
52w high$53.80
Market cap (USD)$6.83B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Koninklijke Vopak NV operates a global network of liquid-bulk, gas, and energy storage terminals, expanding into LNG/LPG infrastructure and grid-scale battery storage.

Rationale

Model upside signals are reinforced by 100% positive 30-day EPS revisions following a 15.58% earnings surprise and management raising FY2026 proportional EBITDA guidance to EUR 1.18–1.22 billion.

Material risks

  • 1Execution delays or cost overruns in major capital projects like REEF LPG—already pushed to Q1 2027—could squeeze cash flow while proportional leverage sits near target upper bounds at 2.87x.
  • 2Terminal occupancy declines from customer inventory destocking or margin compression in battery storage grid-price spreads could undercut earnings visibility.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed