AU · rank #18 · 2026-10-21
DHL
XETRA · EUR · $71.88B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.196 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.13 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 9 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $57.85 | +0.3% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | -10.56% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.38 |
| Gross margin TTM | +17.8% |
| 52w high | $58.90 |
| Market cap (USD) | $71.88B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
DHL Group (DHL.XETRA) is a global integrated logistics operator spanning express, freight forwarding, contract logistics, eCommerce, and German postal services, with its current earnings momentum concentrated in the Express division.
Rationale
The analyst_upside_pct of ~30%, 90.9% revision agreement across 17 analysts, and a meaningful 30-day EPS revision of +$0.13 collectively signal broad, high-conviction upward re-rating driven by the Q3 beat and raised 2026 EBIT guidance above €7.0 billion — a concrete fundamental catalyst, not mere sentiment rotation.
Material risks
- 1Approximately €100 million of Q3 Express EBIT was explicitly attributed to air-freight capacity constraints — a cyclical bottleneck that normalizes if airline capacity returns or FedEx/UPS add freighter capacity, directly threatening the earnings trajectory underpinning the analyst upgrade cycle.
- 2The ~€255 million tariff-related IEEPA cash outflow and ongoing geopolitical trade disruption risk are not fully priced into consensus, and the 45.7% analyst target dispersion signals wide disagreement on how durable the Express yield improvement actually is.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.