AU · rank #19 · 2026-10-21
ESTC
NYSE · $10.04B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.047 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.00 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 12 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.206 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $111.52 | +17.9% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +62.73% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.13 |
| Gross margin TTM | +75.6% |
| 52w high | $108.00 |
| Market cap (USD) | $10.04B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Elastic NV operates a unified search, observability, and security platform built on Elasticsearch, delivered via cloud and self-managed deployments and increasingly positioned as AI-application infrastructure.
Rationale
With 29 analysts covering the stock, 12 net positive price-target revisions in 30 days, 17.9% consensus upside, a 19.85% earnings beat, and raised FY2027 guidance, the analyst_upside signal reflects genuine fundamental re-rating momentum rather than stale sentiment.
Material risks
- 1AWS, Microsoft, and Google offer increasingly capable managed search, vector-database, and observability services natively bundled into their clouds, directly threatening Elastic's core indexing and retrieval moat through commoditization rather than a discrete customer defection event.
- 2Analyst target dispersion of 49.3% is unusually wide for a $10B software name, signaling deep disagreement on terminal growth and margin trajectory that could compress multiples sharply if Q2 revenue guidance of $486–$487M disappoints.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.