AU · rank #12 · 2026-10-21
IOT
NYSE · $24.82B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.514 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.00 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 19 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.206 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $52.07 | +29.2% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +27.24% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.46 |
| Gross margin TTM | +76.4% |
| 52w high | $47.47 |
| Market cap (USD) | $24.82B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Samsara (IOT) operates a Connected Operations platform combining fleet telematics, video safety, and AI-driven workflow tools, monetized via a subscription model with $2.125B ARR growing 30% YoY.
Rationale
The analyst_upside_pct of 29.2% is credible given 95% revision agreement across 25 analysts, a 27.4% earnings surprise last quarter, and accelerating large-customer ARR (>$1M cohort up 50%+ YoY for three consecutive quarters), suggesting consensus targets reflect genuine fundamental re-rating rather than stale optimism.
Material risks
- 1The active Motive patent litigation (ITC + federal court, USPTO challenge already rejected) could force design-arounds or injunctions on Samsara's core AI fleet-tracking functionality, directly undermining the product differentiation that justifies premium analyst targets.
- 2Target price dispersion of 40.3% is unusually wide for a 25-analyst coverage universe, signaling deep disagreement on terminal valuation that could compress the realized upside if growth decelerates even modestly from the current 30% pace.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.