AU · rank #9 · 2026-10-21
RBRK
NYSE · $24.38B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 1.839 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.12 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 17 |
| Insider signal (90d) $0 across 0 unique buyers. | -0.206 |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $120.15 | +5.9% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +45.65% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.89 |
| Gross margin TTM | +80.2% |
| 52w high | $127.90 |
| Market cap (USD) | $24.38B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Rubrik is a cyber-resilience platform vendor providing ransomware recovery, immutable backup, identity restoration, and AI-agent governance through its Security Cloud, displacing legacy backup with subscription ARR as its primary visibility metric.
Rationale
The analyst_upside strategy is reinforced by 94.7% revision agreement among 27 analysts, a 409% earnings surprise last quarter, 38% revenue growth with raised FY2027 guidance, and accelerating momentum (+45.7%), all pointing to a consensus that estimates are still too low.
Material risks
- 1Rubrik discloses no backlog or RPO, so the analyst_upside thesis rests entirely on ARR sentiment rather than contracted revenue visibility—if ARR growth decelerates, the 27-analyst consensus can reverse sharply with no structural anchor.
- 2Veeam, Cohesity, Commvault, and hyperscalers (AWS Backup, Azure) can bundle backup and recovery natively, threatening to commoditize Rubrik's core and cap the TAM expansion into identity and AI-agent recovery before those products achieve material ARR.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.