AU · rank #14 · 2026-10-21
VPK
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $6.78B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.466 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.22 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 2 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $59.60 | +12.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +1.90% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.80 |
| Gross margin TTM | +95.8% |
| 52w high | $53.80 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.78B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Koninklijke Vopak NV operates a global infrastructure network of liquid-bulk, gas, and energy storage terminals, while expanding into LNG/LPG, low-carbon feedstocks, and battery storage [1].
Rationale
The analyst upside screen is supported by strong HY1 2026 execution and a 15.58% earnings surprise that led management to raise full-year 2026 proportional EBITDA guidance to EUR 1.18–1.22 billion [1].
Material risks
- 1Commissioning shifts and cost inflation on large capital projects, such as the REEF LPG terminal delay to Q1 2027, could depress return on capital while proportional leverage remains elevated at 2.87x [1].
- 2Reduced storage demand and inventory destocking by industrial or energy customers could lower terminal occupancy below 91% and erode gross margin performance [1].
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.