← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #4 · 2026-10-22

ATEC

NASDAQ · $1.68B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy7.3strength 7.3 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
2.841
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.00
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
1
Insider signal (90d)
$1,013,150 across 1 unique buyers.
3.000
Analyst upside
Consensus target $15.79
+45.4%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+39.15%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.79
Gross margin TTM+70.8%
52w high$23.29
Market cap (USD)$1.68B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Alphatec Holdings Inc designs and markets integrated spinal surgery solutions, combining implants, biologics, SafeOp neuromonitoring, EOS imaging, and the Valence navigation and robotics platform.

Rationale

The analyst upside signal (45.4% price upside, 4.79/5 rating) is supported by 20% surgical case-volume growth, 24% net-new surgeon adoption, $1.01 million in insider buying, and raised full-year 2026 EBITDA guidance to $140 million.

Material risks

  • 1A heavy debt load of $510.7 million against $119 million in cash creates financial sensitivity if surgical revenue per case or cash flow conversion slows.
  • 2Well-capitalized spine competitors including Medtronic, Globus Medical, and Stryker can leverage deep hospital contracting relationships to bundle competing imaging, navigation, and implant platforms.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed