← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #2 · 2026-10-22

SPCX

NASDAQ · $2.01T (USD)

SignalStrong Buy9.4strength 9.4 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
3.504
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$1.33
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
4
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.213
Analyst upside
Consensus target $221.26
+38.9%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+28.83%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.21
Gross margin TTM+51.9%
52w high$225.64
Market cap (USD)$2.01T

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

SpaceX is an aerospace and defense enterprise providing reusable launch services, Dragon crew and cargo transportation, Starlink satellite broadband, and AI-compute infrastructure.

Rationale

The analyst upside signal (38.9% upside, 100% positive revision agreement) is supported by accelerating Starlink revenue (+66% YoY), 4 price target raises in 30 days, and a $47.5B contracted backlog.

Material risks

  • 1Regulatory approval and buildout hurdles surrounding the $8B 800 MHz spectrum acquisition and terrestrial wireless network for Starlink Mobile could inflate capital intensity and delay commercial rollout.
  • 2Massive ongoing AI-compute capex ($15.8B in Q2) combined with potential Starship V3 deployment delays could suppress near-term profitability and drive net losses.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Gemini
Proceed
Claude
Caution