AU · rank #18 · 2026-10-22
TKMS
XETRA · EUR · $6.08B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.068 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.02 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 2 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $107.00 | +26.3% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +0.19% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.38 |
| Gross margin TTM | +17.9% |
| 52w high | $108.80 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.08B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
TKMS AG is a specialized German naval shipbuilder delivering submarines, frigates, and naval electronics systems with a €20.1 billion backlog anchored by NATO government customers.
Rationale
100% analyst revision agreement, 26% consensus upside, and a 90-day EPS revision of +$0.15 reflect genuine contract momentum—the MEKO A-200 DEU eight-ship confirmation and Canada preferred-supplier status are concrete catalysts, not sentiment rotation, reinforcing the analyst_upside signal.
Material risks
- 1Canada's 12-submarine program remains uncontracted at preferred-supplier stage; if negotiations fail, the >50% backlog uplift thesis collapses and the primary re-rating catalyst disappears.
- 2High analyst target dispersion of 45.8% against only six covering analysts signals wide uncertainty on execution timeline and margin trajectory, amplified by negative €204M free cash flow from project-execution outflows that could persist through the Wismar ramp.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.