AU · rank #15 · 2026-10-22
VPK
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $6.84B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.251 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.22 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 2 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $59.60 | +12.2% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +2.84% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 3.80 |
| Gross margin TTM | +95.8% |
| 52w high | $53.80 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.84B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Vopak is a global liquid-bulk and gas terminal operator expanding into LNG/LPG, low-carbon feedstocks, and battery storage, underpinned by long-lived infrastructure assets and 91% proportional occupancy.
Rationale
The analyst_upside signal is reinforced by a raised FY2026 EBITDA guidance range, a 15.6% earnings surprise, 100% revision agreement among the four covering analysts, and positive EPS revisions sustained across 7-, 30-, 60-, and 90-day windows — all consistent with a genuine re-rating catalyst rather than noise.
Material risks
- 1Battery storage returns depend on grid-price spreads and tolling counterparties in a rapidly commoditizing market with no disclosed proprietary technology, meaning the EUR 230 million Green Energy Storage commitment could dilute returns without a durable moat to justify the capital.
- 2Proportional leverage has already risen to 2.87x with REEF LPG commissioning slipping to Q1 2027, leaving limited balance-sheet buffer if occupancy softens or construction costs escalate further.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.