← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #9 · 2026-10-23

ABN

AMSTERDAM · EUR · $36.11B (USD)

SignalStrong Buy2.5strength 2.5 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.464
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.10
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
6
Insider signal (90d)—
Analyst upside
Consensus target $45.78
+18.0%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
-12.56%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.25
Gross margin TTM+100.0%
52w high$44.22
Market cap (USD)$36.11B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

ABN AMRO Group NV is a leading Dutch universal bank offering retail, private, and corporate banking services, recently enlarged through the acquisition of NIBC.

Rationale

Unanimous upward EPS revisions (100% 30-day agreement) and ~18% target upside are directly validated by Q2 profit rising 29% and management raising full-year 2026 NII guidance to €6.8 billion while lowering cost targets.

Material risks

  • 1Secondary share sales by NLFI to reduce the Dutch state's holding from 20.7% to 10.5% create persistent market supply overhang and equity price pressure.
  • 2Complex integration and legal merger of NIBC could exceed cost projections while dampening capital ratios via an expected 70–75 bps CET1 drawdown.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed