← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #14 · 2026-10-23

BAMNB

AMSTERDAM · EUR · $3.35B (USD)

SignalBuy1.8strength 1.8 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.140
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.08
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
1
Insider signal (90d)—
Analyst upside
Consensus target $14.10
+22.7%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
-9.37%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
5.00
Gross margin TTM+28.2%
52w high$13.13
Market cap (USD)$3.35B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Koninklijke BAM Groep NV is a Netherlands-headquartered construction and civil engineering group providing residential development, energy grid, defence, and civil infrastructure services across the Netherlands, UK, and Ireland.

Rationale

Upward EPS revisions with 100% analyst agreement and a 22.7% upside target are supported by strong execution, with H1 2026 adjusted EBITDA rising 36% and management raising full-year EBITDA margin guidance to at least 6.5%.

Material risks

  • 1Project execution vulnerability on complex infrastructure contracts, where unexpected cost overruns, safety incidents, or adverse claims can quickly erode thin construction operating margins.
  • 2Order book contraction from €13.0 billion to €12.6 billion alongside potential permitting bottlenecks in Dutch housing and energy-grid infrastructure.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed