AU · rank #6 · 2026-10-23
DVL
GPW · PLN · $988M (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | -0.900 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.00 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 1 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $10.99 | +30.8% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | -17.65% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.33 |
| Gross margin TTM | +30.6% |
| 52w high | $10.37 |
| Market cap (USD) | $988M |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Develia S.A. is a prominent Polish real estate developer constructing residential and commercial properties across seven major metropolitan markets, including Warsaw, Wroclaw, and Kraków.
Rationale
The 30.8% analyst upside target and 100% positive 30-day EPS revision agreement are supported by strong earnings realization, driven by 9M 2026 unit handovers surging 74% year-over-year to 3,406 units and H1 net profit reaching PLN 319 million.
Material risks
- 1Unit sales growth (+8% in 9M 2026) significantly trails handover growth (+74%), exposing future earnings to inventory buildup and a potential cliff once the current project delivery cycle finishes.
- 2Substantial capital commitments for land acquisitions, including the ~PLN 550 million Stocznia Cesarska project, heighten execution and balance-sheet risk if Polish mortgage demand slows due to elevated interest rates.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.