← Analyst Upside

AU · rank #17 · 2026-10-23

OKTA

NASDAQ · $33.20B (USD)

SignalBuy1.7strength 1.7 / 10
verdict · PROCEED

The exact numbers the algorithm saw.

Factor scores and the inputs behind this pick.
Composite score
Z-score blend of all factors below.
0.908
EPS revisions (30d)
Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share).
+$0.00
Net revisions (30d)
Number of analysts revising upward minus downward.
33
Insider signal (90d)
$0 across 0 unique buyers.
-0.207
Analyst upside
Consensus target $212.83
+5.7%
Momentum acceleration
3-month minus 12-month momentum.
+13.52%
Analyst rating
5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell.
4.34
Gross margin TTM+78.1%
52w high$235.00
Market cap (USD)$33.20B

The AI research card

Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.

Summary

Okta provides an enterprise cloud identity and access management platform across workforce, customer, governance, and emerging AI-agent security domains.

Rationale

Strong analyst revision momentum—highlighted by 23 target raises in 30 days and 90.2% revision agreement—is backed by an 8.93% earnings surprise and robust subscription backlog visibility (RPO up 17% to $4.86 billion).

Material risks

  • 1Microsoft Entra ID and Google Cloud Identity bundling core SSO and MFA capabilities into existing enterprise suites threatens pricing power and renewal rates.
  • 2Intensifying competition from CyberArk, Ping Identity, and Cisco Duo, alongside potential feature commoditization as hyperscalers converge on AI-agent security.

AI verdict council

Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 2 of 3 voted to proceed.

OpenAI
Proceed
Claude
Caution
Gemini
Proceed