AU · rank #7 · 2026-10-23
VPK
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $6.75B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.765 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.22 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 2 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $59.60 | +13.5% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +2.62% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.20 |
| Gross margin TTM | +95.8% |
| 52w high | $53.80 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.75B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
Vopak is a global liquid-bulk and gas terminal operator expanding into LNG/LPG, low-carbon feedstocks, and battery storage, underpinned by long-lived infrastructure assets and 91% proportional occupancy.
Rationale
The analyst_upside_pct of 13.5% with 100% revision agreement across all four covering analysts, a 15.6% earnings surprise, and raised FY2026 EBITDA guidance to EUR 1.18–1.22B collectively reinforce the upside-revision thesis for a capital-intensive infrastructure bottleneck-solver with visible contracted cash flows.
Material risks
- 1Battery storage returns depend on grid-price spreads and tolling counterparties in a rapidly commoditizing market with no disclosed proprietary technology, meaning the EUR 230M Green Energy Storage commitment could dilute returns precisely as leverage has risen to 2.87x — near the top of management's stated range.
- 2REEF LPG commissioning has already slipped to Q1 2027, and further construction delays or cost overruns across multiple simultaneous growth projects could pressure free cash flow while the balance sheet has limited headroom at current leverage.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.