AU · rank #16 · 2026-10-26
IMCD
AMSTERDAM · EUR · $6.69B (USD)
The exact numbers the algorithm saw.
| Composite score Z-score blend of all factors below. | 0.276 |
|---|---|
| EPS revisions (30d) Change in consensus EPS estimate over the past 30 days ($/share). | +$0.06 |
| Net revisions (30d) Number of analysts revising upward minus downward. | 2 |
| Insider signal (90d) | — |
| Analyst upside Consensus target $117.36 | +16.0% |
| Momentum acceleration 3-month minus 12-month momentum. | +12.24% |
| Analyst rating 5 = Strong Buy, 1 = Strong Sell. | 4.29 |
| Gross margin TTM | +25.0% |
| 52w high | $105.55 |
| Market cap (USD) | $6.69B |
The AI research card
Independent qualitative review of each pick before the order is placed. On the rare day the research service is unavailable, the paper book trades on the quant ranking alone and no card appears here.
Summary
IMCD NV is an asset-light global specialty chemicals and ingredients distributor that connects fragmented producers with customers requiring formulation, regulatory, and application support across life sciences, food, coatings, and personal care end markets.
Rationale
100% analyst revision agreement, a 15.97% consensus upside, and a strong buy-skewed rating (4.29/5) are reinforced by concrete H1 2026 delivery — 11% constant-currency revenue growth, 29% FCF growth, and Q2 organic gross-profit recovery to +7% — giving the analyst_upside signal a fundamental anchor rather than pure sentiment.
Material risks
- 1Acquisition-driven margin dilution is already visible (gross margin down 70bps to ~24.9% in H1 2026) and the pipeline of lower-margin bolt-ons combined with 2.8x EBITDA leverage could compress the earnings trajectory that underpins the consensus upgrade cycle.
- 2IMCD's relationship- and service-based moat carries no order backlog or sole-source protection, meaning cyclical destocking, supplier mandate losses, or displacement by Azelis or Brenntag can erode volumes without early warning, capping the durability of the analyst upside thesis.
AI verdict council
Each pick is reviewed independently by 3 models before any order. 3 of 3 voted to proceed.